Inter vs AC Milan: result 5-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 16, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
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What was the result of Inter vs AC Milan?
Inter won 5-1 on September 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 5′H. MkhitaryanInter
- 38′M. ThuramInter
- 57′Rafael LeãoAC Milan
- 69′H. MkhitaryanInter
- 79′H. ÇalhanoğluInter (pen.)
- 90′D. FrattesiInter
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; AC Milan have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2023 | Fiorentina(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Cagliari(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Monza(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2023 | AS Roma(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Torino(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Bologna(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Novara(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Trento(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Inter win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AC Milan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2023 | Inter 1-0 AC Milan | UEFA Champions League |
| May 10, 2023 | AC Milan 0-2 Inter | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Inter 1-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Jan 18, 2023 | AC Milan 0-3 Inter | Super Cup |
| Sep 3, 2022 | AC Milan 3-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Inter 3-0 AC Milan | Coppa Italia |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 2.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AC Milan | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter sit 1st in Serie A (3 points from 1 matches) and AC Milan sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy