Match

Inverness CT vs Arbroath: prediction and stats

ChampionshipRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness

Inverness CTArbroath

The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Arbroath. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inverness CT wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Inverness CT vs Arbroath?

Inverness CT starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,660).

47%28%25%
Inverness CT winDrawArbroath win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Inverness CT vs Arbroath

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Inverness CT

4-2-3-1
  1. 9L. Stewart
  1. 7P. Allan
  2. 8A. Mackinnon
  3. 11L. Longstaff
  4. 16R. Duncan
  5. 35A. Stewart
  1. 4G. Shinnie
  2. 5Remmi Eugene Savage
  3. 2C. Macleod
  4. 15K. Smith
  1. 1R. Munro

Arbroath

4-2-3-1
  1. 9A. Winter
  1. 20S. Constable
  2. 25J. MacIntyre
  3. 11R. Dow
  4. 14M. McKenna
  5. 8R. Flynn
  1. 26S. Mackie
  2. 16C. Watson
  3. 22C. Dewar
  4. 6T. Beadling
  1. 1A. McAdams

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:17 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverness CT have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Arbroath have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Inverness CT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Queen's Park(away)1-2Championship
Oct 10, 2026Stenhousemuir(home)2-0Championship
Sep 25, 2026Morton(home)2-0Championship
Sep 19, 2026Livingston(away)2-2Championship
Sep 12, 2026Ayr Utd(away)3-1Championship
Arbroath
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Morton(home)1-2Championship
Oct 3, 2026Partick(away)0-3Championship
Sep 25, 2026Queen's Park(home)2-1Championship
Sep 19, 2026Stenhousemuir(away)0-1Championship
Sep 12, 2026Raith Rovers(away)0-4Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Inverness CT win, 2 draws, 3 Arbroath wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Arbroath 0-0 Inverness CTChampionship
Apr 26, 2025Inverness CT 3-0 ArbroathLeague One
Feb 8, 2025Arbroath 3-0 Inverness CTLeague One
Dec 14, 2024Inverness CT 0-2 ArbroathLeague One
Oct 5, 2024Arbroath 1-0 Inverness CTLeague One
Jul 23, 2024Inverness CT 0-0 ArbroathLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Arbroath vs Inverness CT on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arbroath score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Inverness CT1.31.277/155/15
Arbroath0.91.536/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Inverness CT sit 6th in Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Arbroath sit 8th (11 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Inverness CT10343121113
8Arbroath1032571511

A question about Inverness CT vs Arbroath?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Arbroath.
Where and when is Inverness CT vs Arbroath played?
Inverness CT vs Arbroath is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, in the Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Inverness CT and Arbroath

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