Inverness CT vs Livingston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
The Footlab model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Livingston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Livingston?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Inverness CT (1,823) and Livingston (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverness CT have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Livingston have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-6 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 8-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inverness CT win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Livingston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Livingston 2-2 Inverness CT | Challenge Cup |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Livingston 0-3 Inverness CT | FA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Livingston 1-2 Inverness CT | League Cup |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Inverness CT 1-0 Livingston | FA Cup |
| Apr 24, 2018 | Livingston 0-1 Inverness CT | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2018 | Inverness CT 1-1 Livingston | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Livingston vs Inverness CT on Oct 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Inverness CT score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Livingston score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Livingston | 1.8 | 1.0 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inverness CT sit 7th in Championship (3 points from 3 matches) and Livingston sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Livingston | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Inverness CT | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inverness CT vs Livingston?
- The Footlab model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Livingston.
- Where and when is Inverness CT vs Livingston played?
- Inverness CT vs Livingston is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.