Inverurie Loco Works vs Formartine United: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 14Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Harlaw Park, Inverurie
The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Inverurie Loco Works. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inverurie Loco Works vs Formartine United?
Formartine United starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,639 vs 1,488).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverurie Loco Works have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntly(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Inverurie Loco Works win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Formartine United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Inverurie Loco Works 0-0 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Formartine United 1-0 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Inverurie Loco Works 1-0 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Formartine United 1-1 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Formartine United 1-1 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Inverurie Loco Works 1-2 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Inverurie Loco Works vs Formartine United on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Inverurie Loco Works score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverurie Loco Works | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inverurie Loco Works sit 15th in Football League - Highland League (33 points from 34 matches) and Formartine United sit 3rd (71 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Formartine United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 71 |
| 15 | Inverurie Loco Works | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 66 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inverurie Loco Works vs Formartine United?
- The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Inverurie Loco Works.
- Where and when is Inverurie Loco Works vs Formartine United played?
- Inverurie Loco Works vs Formartine United is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Harlaw Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.