Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 14Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Strathspey Thistle. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle?
Fraserburgh is a heavy favourite: 1,664 Elo points against 1,349 — a 315-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Strathspey Thistle have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Fraserburgh win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Strathspey Thistle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle 0-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Fraserburgh 4-1 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Fraserburgh 3-1 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Strathspey Thistle 2-2 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Fraserburgh 11-0 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Strathspey Thistle 1-5 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Strathspey Thistle vs Fraserburgh on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Strathspey Thistle score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Strathspey Thistle | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fraserburgh sit 4th in Football League - Highland League (68 points from 34 matches) and Strathspey Thistle sit 12th (41 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
| 12 | Strathspey Thistle | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 83 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Strathspey Thistle.
- Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle played?
- Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Brora RangersvsNairn County
- Oct 10, 2026ClachnacuddinvsBuckie Thistle
- Oct 10, 2026DeveronvalevsWick Academy
- Oct 10, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsFormartine United
- Oct 10, 2026LossiemouthvsBanks O' Dee
- Oct 10, 2026Turriff UnitedvsForres Mechanics
- Oct 10, 2026HuntlyvsKeith
- Oct 10, 2026InvergordonvsRothes