Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 34Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Harlaw Park, Inverurie
The Footlab model makes Inverurie Loco Works the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Keith. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Inverurie Loco Works (1,488) and Keith (1,446).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverurie Loco Works have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Keith have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inverurie Loco Works win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Keith win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Keith 2-0 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Inverurie Loco Works 1-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Inverurie Loco Works 1-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Keith 0-3 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Inverurie Loco Works 1-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Keith 1-2 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inverurie Loco Works score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverurie Loco Works | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inverurie Loco Works sit 15th in Football League - Highland League (33 points from 34 matches) and Keith sit 6th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 15 | Inverurie Loco Works | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 66 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith?
- The Footlab model makes Inverurie Loco Works the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Keith.
- Where and when is Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith played?
- Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Harlaw Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Brora RangersvsClachnacuddin
- Apr 10, 2027Formartine UnitedvsBanks O' Dee
- Apr 10, 2027DeveronvalevsStrathspey Thistle
- Apr 10, 2027RothesvsForres Mechanics
- Apr 10, 2027Turriff UnitedvsLossiemouth
- Apr 10, 2027Wick AcademyvsBuckie Thistle
- Apr 10, 2027HuntlyvsFraserburgh
- Apr 10, 2027InvergordonvsNairn County