Match

Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works: prediction and stats

Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith

KeithInverurie Loco Works

The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Inverurie Loco Works. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Keith (1,446) and Inverurie Loco Works (1,488).

Keith win50 %
Draw24 %
Inverurie Loco Works win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Inverurie Loco Works have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Keith
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Formartine United(away)1-4Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Clachnacuddin(away)1-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026Lossiemouth(home)2-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026Fraserburgh(away)0-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 1, 2026Nairn County(home)1-1Football League - Highland League
Inverurie Loco Works
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Brora Rangers(away)0-0Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026Fraserburgh(home)2-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Strathspey Thistle(away)3-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026Nairn County(home)3-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026Banks O' Dee(away)1-1Football League - Highland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Keith win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Inverurie Loco Works win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 11, 2026Keith 2-0 Inverurie Loco WorksFootball League - Highland League
Sep 20, 2025Inverurie Loco Works 1-0 KeithFootball League - Highland League
Feb 22, 2025Inverurie Loco Works 1-0 KeithFootball League - Highland League
Sep 21, 2024Keith 0-3 Inverurie Loco WorksFootball League - Highland League
Mar 23, 2024Inverurie Loco Works 1-2 KeithFootball League - Highland League
Nov 18, 2023Keith 1-2 Inverurie Loco WorksFootball League - Highland League

Last archived meeting: Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works on Mar 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Inverurie Loco Works score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Keith1.71.358/156/15
Inverurie Loco Works1.71.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Inverurie Loco Works sit 15th (33 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Keith3417710524758
15Inverurie Loco Works349619476633

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works?
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Inverurie Loco Works.
Where and when is Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works played?
Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Keith and Inverurie Loco Works

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