Iraklis Therm. vs PAO Kristoni: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 14Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for PAO Kristoni. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Therm. vs PAO Kristoni?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Iraklis Therm. (1,621) and PAO Kristoni (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Therm. have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; PAO Kristoni have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Panthrakikos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kilkisiakos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Orestis Orestiadas(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | PAOK Dytiko(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Iraklis Therm. win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 PAO Kristoni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | PAO Kristoni 2-0 Iraklis Therm. | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Iraklis Therm. 3-0 PAO Kristoni | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: PAO Kristoni vs Iraklis Therm. on Dec 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Therm. score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; PAO Kristoni score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Therm. | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| PAO Kristoni | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Therm. vs PAO Kristoni?
- The Footlab model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for PAO Kristoni.
- Where and when is Iraklis Therm. vs PAO Kristoni played?
- Iraklis Therm. vs PAO Kristoni is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.