PAO Kristoni vs Iraklis Therm.: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Kristonis, Kristoni
The Footlab model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for PAO Kristoni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PAO Kristoni vs Iraklis Therm.?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate PAO Kristoni (1,535) and Iraklis Therm. (1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAO Kristoni have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Iraklis Therm. have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kilkisiakos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Orestis Orestiadas(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | PAOK Dytiko(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Panthrakikos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 PAO Kristoni win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Iraklis Therm. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | PAO Kristoni 2-0 Iraklis Therm. | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Iraklis Therm. 3-0 PAO Kristoni | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: PAO Kristoni vs Iraklis Therm. on Dec 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PAO Kristoni score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis Therm. score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAO Kristoni | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Iraklis Therm. | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PAO Kristoni vs Iraklis Therm.?
- The Footlab model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for PAO Kristoni.
- Where and when is PAO Kristoni vs Iraklis Therm. played?
- PAO Kristoni vs Iraklis Therm. is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Kristonis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.