Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ethnikos Achna: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo PAEEK Keryneia Epistrofi, Strovolos
The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Iraklis Yerolakkou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ethnikos Achna?
Ethnikos Achna starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Yerolakkou have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ethnikos Achna have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | APEA(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Digenis Morphou(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Yerolakkou score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Achna score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Yerolakkou | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ethnikos Achna | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ethnikos Achna?
- The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Iraklis Yerolakkou.
- Where and when is Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ethnikos Achna played?
- Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ethnikos Achna is played on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo PAEEK Keryneia Epistrofi, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.