Ischia vs Virtus Francavilla: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Mazzella, Ischia
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ischia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Francavilla wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ischia vs Virtus Francavilla?
Virtus Francavilla starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,751 vs 1,622).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ischia vs Virtus Francavilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ischia
Not enough data to predict the Ischia lineup.
Virtus Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Francavilla lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ischia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Virtus Francavilla have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Melfi(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ebolitana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gravina(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ischia wins, 1 draw, 1 Virtus Francavilla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Ischia 0-0 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Virtus Francavilla 4-0 Ischia | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Ischia vs Virtus Francavilla on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ischia score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Francavilla score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischia | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ischia sit 16th in Serie D - Girone H (5 points from 7 matches) and Virtus Francavilla sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 18 |
| 16 | Ischia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Ischia vs Virtus Francavilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ischia vs Virtus Francavilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ischia.
- Where and when is Ischia vs Virtus Francavilla played?
- Ischia vs Virtus Francavilla is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Mazzella, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.