Istiqlol vs Al-Nassr: result 0-4 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on November 26, 2025 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr won 0-4 on November 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′João FélixAl-Nassr (pen.)
- 40′M. SimakanAl-Nassr
- 84′S. ManéAl-Nassr
- 90′Ayman YahyaAl-Nassr
Official lineup for Istiqlol vs Al-Nassr
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Istiqlol
5-4-1- 9R. Soirov
- 8S. Haghnazari
- 17E. Panjshanbe
- 6A. Juraboev
- 11Muhammadjon Rahimov
- 3T. Islomov
- 33Joseph Okoro
- 5S. Qurbonov
- 4M. Chobanov
- 55M. Safarov
- 1N. Stosic
Al-Nassr
4-4-2- 79João Félix
- 16Mohammed Maran
- 20Ângelo
- 11M. Brozović
- 19Ali Al Hassan
- 80Wesley Gassova
- 83Salem Al Najdi
- 5Abdulelah Al Amri
- 3M. Simakan
- 2Sultan Al Ghannam
- 24Bento
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Nassr have 14, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | Eskhata(home) | 6-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Ravshan(home) | 6-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Goa(home) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 4-1 | Pro League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | NEOM(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Goa(home) | 4-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 1-2 | King's Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Istiqlol wins, 1 draw, 2 Al-Nassr wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Al-Nassr 5-0 Istiqlol | AFC Champions League Two |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Istiqlol 1-1 Al-Nassr | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Al-Nassr 3-1 Istiqlol | AFC Champions League Elite |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 3.2 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 3.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Istiqlol vs Al-Nassr?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy