Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Awal Park at King Saud University, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Al-Qadisiyah FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Al-Nassr (2,134) and Al-Qadisiyah FC (2,066).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Nassr have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Qadisiyah FC have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Riyadh(away) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 4-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Taee(away) | 5-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Levante(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Nassr win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Al-Qadisiyah FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Al-Nassr 1-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Al-Nassr 1-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Feb 18, 2021 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-0 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Al-Nassr 2-0 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Nassr on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Nassr score 2.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Qadisiyah FC score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 2.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Nassr sit 1st in Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Al-Qadisiyah FC.
- Where and when is Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisiyah FC played?
- Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisiyah FC is played on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Awal Park at King Saud University, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.