Istiqlol vs Khatlon: result 1-0 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on October 17, 2012 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
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What was the result of Istiqlol vs Khatlon?
Istiqlol won 1-0 on October 17, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Khatlon have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2012 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 31, 2012 | Istaravshan(home) | 4-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 11, 2012 | Khatlon(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Istaravshan(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Zarafshon Panjakent(home) | 6-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | Zarafshon Panjakent(away) | 3-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 8, 2012 | Istaravshan(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Ravshan(away) | 0-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Barki Tajik(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Guardia Dushanbe(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Istiqlol win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Khatlon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2012 | Khatlon 0-1 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Istiqlol 4-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Dec 1, 2011 | Khatlon 0-2 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 18, 2011 | Khatlon 1-0 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 4, 2011 | Istiqlol 3-1 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Khatlon score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Khatlon | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istiqlol sit 3rd in Vysshaya Liga (28 points from 13 matches) and Khatlon sit 8th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Istiqlol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 28 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy