Match

Italy U17 vs Jamaica U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, Acquaviva

Italy U17Jamaica U17

The Footlab model makes Italy U17 the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Jamaica U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Italy U17 vs Jamaica U17?

Italy U17 starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,523).

Italy U17 win57 %
Draw20 %
Jamaica U17 win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy U17 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Jamaica U17 have 3, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Italy U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Belgium U17(away)1-1UEFA U17 Championship
Jun 4, 2026Spain U17(home)1-1UEFA U17 Championship
Jun 1, 2026Denmark U17(away)3-3UEFA U17 Championship
May 29, 2026Montenegro U17(away)3-0UEFA U17 Championship
May 26, 2026France U17(home)1-0UEFA U17 Championship
Jamaica U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 16, 2025El Salvador U17(home)1-2World Cup - U17
Feb 12, 2025Cayman Islands U17(away)10-1World Cup - U17
Feb 10, 2025St. Lucia U17(home)3-1World Cup - U17
Feb 19, 2023Guatemala U17(home)1-2CONCACAF U17
Feb 17, 2023Costa Rica U17(away)2-2CONCACAF U17

How many goals should we expect?

Italy U17 score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jamaica U17 score 3.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Italy U171.51.166/157/15
Jamaica U173.11.707/77/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Italy U17 vs Jamaica U17?
The Footlab model makes Italy U17 the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Jamaica U17.
Where and when is Italy U17 vs Jamaica U17 played?
Italy U17 vs Jamaica U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Italy U17 and Jamaica U17

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