Match

New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Numa Daly, Nouméa

New Caledonia U17Ecuador U17

The Footlab AI model makes New Caledonia U17 the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Ecuador U17. The most likely score is 1-1. If New Caledonia U17 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17?

On Elo ratings, New Caledonia U17 has 1,434 points and Ecuador U17 1,558.

39%22%39%
New Caledonia U17 winDrawEcuador U17 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

New Caledonia U17

4-3-3
  1. 10E. Wamowa
  2. 9W. Bouaoui
  3. 11J. Saïko
  1. 13M. Padome
  2. 2Y. Attawa
  3. 20S. Andrew
  1. 5Y. Hmae
  2. 12T. Dreuko
  3. 4F. Iopue
  4. 4G. Diko
  1. 21N. Kutran

Ecuador U17

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Guerrero
  2. 14J. Mina
  3. 23J. Martinez
  1. 8B. Zamora
  2. 10J. Calle
  3. 11H. Quintero
  1. 2Deinner Ordóñez
  2. 6J. Chica
  3. 5A. Cuadrado
  4. 3J. Medina
  1. 12M. Vaca

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:43 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, New Caledonia U17 have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Ecuador U17 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New Caledonia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2025Morocco U17(away)0-16World Cup - U17
Nov 6, 2025Japan U17(away)0-0World Cup - U17
Nov 3, 2025Portugal U17(home)1-6World Cup - U17
Nov 17, 2023IR Iran U17(away)0-5World Cup - U17
Nov 14, 2023Brazil U17(away)0-9World Cup - U17
Ecuador U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Brazil U17(home)0-1CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 16, 2026Argentina U17(home)1-3CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 12, 2026Chile U17(away)3-1CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 7, 2026Uruguay U17(home)2-1CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 5, 2026Colombia U17(home)0-0CONMEBOL - U17

How many goals should we expect?

New Caledonia U17 score 0.2 and concede 7.7 goals per match over their last 6; Ecuador U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
New Caledonia U170.27.711/65/6
Ecuador U171.21.147/158/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

A question about New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17?
The Footlab AI model makes New Caledonia U17 the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Ecuador U17.
Where and when is New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17 played?
New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Numa Daly, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: New Caledonia U17 and Ecuador U17

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