Where and when is New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17 played?

New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Numa Daly, in the World Cup - U17.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Numa Daly, Nouméa

New Caledonia U17

Ecuador U17

The Footlab model makes Ecuador U17 the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for New Caledonia U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17?

Ecuador U17 starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,558 vs 1,434).

New Caledonia U17 win37 %

Draw22 %

Ecuador U17 win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, New Caledonia U17 have 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Ecuador U17 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New Caledonia U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 9, 2025	Morocco U17(away)	0-16	World Cup - U17
Nov 6, 2025	Japan U17(away)	0-0	World Cup - U17
Nov 3, 2025	Portugal U17(home)	1-6	World Cup - U17
Nov 17, 2023	IR Iran U17(away)	0-5	World Cup - U17
Nov 14, 2023	Brazil U17(away)	0-9	World Cup - U17

Ecuador U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Brazil U17(home)	0-1	CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 16, 2026	Argentina U17(home)	1-3	CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 12, 2026	Chile U17(away)	3-1	CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 7, 2026	Uruguay U17(home)	2-1	CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 5, 2026	Colombia U17(home)	0-0	CONMEBOL - U17

How many goals should we expect?

New Caledonia U17 score 0.2 and concede 7.7 goals per match over their last 6; Ecuador U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
New Caledonia U17	0.2	7.7	1	1/6	5/6
Ecuador U17	1.2	1.1	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17?: The Footlab model makes Ecuador U17 the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for New Caledonia U17.
Where and when is New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17 played?: New Caledonia U17 vs Ecuador U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Numa Daly, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.