Italy vs Belgium: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations League3rd Place FinalKick-off on October 10, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Torino
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Belgium?
Italy won 2-1 on October 10, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 46′N. BarellaItaly
- 65′D. BerardiItaly (pen.)
- 86′C. De KetelaereBelgium
Official lineup for Italy vs Belgium
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
4-3-3- 14F. Chiesa
- 9G. Raspadori
- 11D. Berardi
- 7L. Pellegrini
- 5M. Locatelli
- 18N. Barella
- 13Emerson
- 23A. Bastoni
- 15F. Acerbi
- 2G. Di Lorenzo
- 21G. Donnarumma
Belgium
3-4-3- 17H. Vanaken
- 23M. Batshuayi
- 22A. Saelemaekers
- 11Y. Carrasco
- 8Y. Tielemans
- 6A. Witsel
- 21T. Castagne
- 5J. Vertonghen
- 3J. Denayer
- 2T. Alderweireld
- 1T. Courtois
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Belgium have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2021 | Spain(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Lithuania(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Switzerland(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Bulgaria(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 11, 2021 | England(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2021 | France(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Belarus(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Estonia(away) | 5-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 2, 2021 | Italy(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Italy wins, 0 draws, 0 Belgium wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2021 | Belgium 1-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Belgium 0-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium score 2.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Belgium | 2.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Belgium sit 3rd (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Italy vs Belgium?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy