Italy vs Belgium: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations League3rd Place FinalKick-off on October 10, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Torino
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What was the result of Italy vs Belgium?
Italy won 2-1 on October 10, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 46′N. BarellaItaly
- 65′D. BerardiItaly (pen.)
- 86′C. De KetelaereBelgium
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Belgium have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2021 | Spain(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Lithuania(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Switzerland(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Bulgaria(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 11, 2021 | England(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2021 | France(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Belarus(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Estonia(away) | 5-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 2, 2021 | Italy(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Italy win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Belgium win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2021 | Belgium 1-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Belgium 0-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium score 2.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Belgium | 2.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy