Belgium vs Italy: result 1-2 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 2, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München
Full time
What was the result of Belgium vs Italy?
Italy won 1-2 on July 2, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 31′N. BarellaItaly
- 44′L. InsigneItaly
- 45′R. LukakuBelgium (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgium have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Italy have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2021 | Portugal(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2021 | Finland(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Denmark(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Russia(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Croatia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2021 | Austria(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Wales(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Switzerland(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Türkiye(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Belgium win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2016 | Belgium 0-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Belgium score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 2.7 and concede 0.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 2.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Italy | 2.7 | 0.1 | 13 | 2/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belgium sit 2nd in Euro Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy