Italy vs Japan: result 4-3 and analysis
Confederations CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on June 19, 2013 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Japan?
Italy won 4-3 on June 19, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 21′Keisuke HondaJapan (pen.)
- 33′S. KagawaJapan
- 41′D. De RossiItaly
- 50′Atsuto UchidaItaly (o.g.)
- 52′M. BalotelliItaly (pen.)
- 69′S. OkazakiJapan
- 86′S. GiovincoItaly
Official lineup for Italy vs Japan
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
- 9M. Balotelli
- 2Christian Maggio
- 7Alberto Aquilani
- 16D. De Rossi
- 18Riccardo Montolivo
- 21Andrea Pirlo
- 22Emanuele Giaccherini
- 3G. Chiellini
- 5M. De Sciglio
- 15Andrea Barzagli
- 1G. Buffon
Japan
- 9S. Okazaki
- 18Ryoichi Maeda
- 4Keisuke Honda
- 7Y. Endō
- 10S. Kagawa
- 5Y. Nagatomo
- 6Atsuto Uchida
- 15Y. Konno
- 17M. Hasebe
- 22M. Yoshida
- 1E. Kawashima
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Japan have 6, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2013 | Mexico(away) | 2-1 | Confederations Cup |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Spain(away) | 0-4 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 28, 2012 | Germany(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2012 | England(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2012 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2013 | Brazil(away) | 0-3 | Confederations Cup |
| Jan 29, 2011 | Australia(away) | 1-0 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 25, 2011 | South Korea(home) | 3-3 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 21, 2011 | Qatar(home) | 3-2 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 17, 2011 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 5-0 | Asian Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Japan score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Japan | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Italy vs Japan?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy