Italy vs Japan: result 4-3 and analysis
Confederations CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on June 19, 2013 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Japan?
Italy won 4-3 on June 19, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 21′Keisuke HondaJapan (pen.)
- 33′S. KagawaJapan
- 41′D. De RossiItaly
- 50′Atsuto UchidaItaly (o.g.)
- 52′M. BalotelliItaly (pen.)
- 69′S. OkazakiJapan
- 86′S. GiovincoItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Japan have 6, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2013 | Mexico(away) | 2-1 | Confederations Cup |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Spain(away) | 0-4 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 28, 2012 | Germany(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2012 | England(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2012 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2013 | Brazil(away) | 0-3 | Confederations Cup |
| Jan 29, 2011 | Australia(away) | 1-0 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 25, 2011 | South Korea(home) | 3-3 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 21, 2011 | Qatar(home) | 3-2 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 17, 2011 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 5-0 | Asian Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Japan score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Japan | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy