Italy vs Spain: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on October 6, 2021 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
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What was the result of Italy vs Spain?
Spain won 1-2 on October 6, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 17′Ferran TorresSpain
- 45′Ferran TorresSpain
- 83′L. PellegriniItaly
Official lineup for Italy vs Spain
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
4-3-3- 10L. Insigne
- 20F. Bernardeschi
- 14F. Chiesa
- 6M. Verratti
- 8Jorginho
- 18N. Barella
- 13Emerson
- 23A. Bastoni
- 19L. Bonucci
- 2G. Di Lorenzo
- 21G. Donnarumma
Spain
4-3-3- 21Mikel Oyarzabal
- 22Pablo Sarabia
- 11Ferran Torres
- 8Koke
- 5Sergio Busquets
- 9Gavi
- 17Marcos Alonso
- 3Pau Torres
- 19Aymeric Laporte
- 2César Azpilicueta
- 23Unai Simón
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Spain have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2021 | Lithuania(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Switzerland(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Bulgaria(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 11, 2021 | England(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 6, 2021 | Spain(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2021 | Kosovo(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Georgia(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Sweden(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 6, 2021 | Italy(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 2, 2021 | Switzerland(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Italy win, 3 draws, 2 Spain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2021 | Italy 1-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Spain 3-0 Italy | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Italy 1-1 Spain | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 27, 2016 | Italy 2-0 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Spain 0-0 Italy | Confederations Cup |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Spain 4-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.4 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 2.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.4 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Spain | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Spain sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SpainGroup C | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | ItalyGroup A | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Italy vs Spain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy