Italy vs Spain: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on October 6, 2021 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
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What was the result of Italy vs Spain?
Spain won 1-2 on October 6, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 17′Ferran TorresSpain
- 45′Ferran TorresSpain
- 83′L. PellegriniItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Spain have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2021 | Lithuania(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Switzerland(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Bulgaria(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 11, 2021 | England(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 6, 2021 | Spain(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2021 | Kosovo(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Georgia(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Sweden(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 6, 2021 | Italy(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 2, 2021 | Switzerland(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Italy win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Spain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2021 | Italy 1-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Spain 3-0 Italy | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Italy 1-1 Spain | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 27, 2016 | Italy 2-0 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Spain 0-0 Italy | Confederations Cup |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Spain 4-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.4 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 2.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.4 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Spain | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy