Italy W vs Sweden W: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations League - WomenLeague A - 2Kick-off on September 26, 2023 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
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What was the result of Italy W vs Sweden W?
Sweden W won 0-1 on September 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 14′J. Rytting KanerydSweden W
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy W have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sweden W have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2023 | Switzerland W(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Aug 2, 2023 | South Africa W(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Women |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Sweden W(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - Women |
| Jul 24, 2023 | Argentina W(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Women |
| Jul 14, 2023 | New Zealand W(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2023 | Spain W(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Australia W(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Women |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Spain W(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Women |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Japan W(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Women |
| Aug 6, 2023 | USA W(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Italy W win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sweden W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2023 | Sweden W 5-0 Italy W | World Cup - Women |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Sweden W 1-1 Italy W | Algarve Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy W score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sweden W score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy W | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Sweden W | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy W sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League - Women (10 points from 6 matches) and Sweden W sit 1st (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden W | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy