Germany W vs Sweden W: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League - WomenGroup StageKick-off on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Germany W the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Sweden W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Germany W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,724 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Germany W vs Sweden W?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Germany W (1,854) and Sweden W (1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Germany W vs Sweden W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Germany W
4-3-3- 18M. Kössler
- 14C. Zicai
- 8V. Endemann
- 20E. SenÃ
- 19K. Bühl
- 5J. Minge
- 13C. Wamser
- 3C. Küver
- 17F. Kett
- 7S. Linder
- 1E. Mahmutovic
Sweden W
4-4-2- 17F. Schröder
- 11S. Blackstenius
- 15J. Olme
- 7M. Vinberg
- 4H. Lundkvist
- 19A. Anvegård
- 2S. Holmberg
- 18B. Andersson
- 5A. Sandberg
- 14N. Björn
- 1Z. Mušović
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany W have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sweden W have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Japan W(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Australia W(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Slovenia W(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Norway W(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Austria W(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lithuania W(home) | 10-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lithuania W(away) | 5-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Italy W(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Denmark W(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Serbia W(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Germany W wins, 1 draw, 2 Sweden W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2025 | Sweden W 4-1 Germany W | UEFA Championship - Women |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Germany W 0-0 Sweden W | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 29, 2019 | Germany W 1-2 Sweden W | World Cup - Women |
| Aug 19, 2016 | Sweden W 1-2 Germany W | Olympics Women |
| Jun 20, 2015 | Germany W 4-1 Sweden W | World Cup - Women |
Last archived meeting: Sweden W vs Germany W on Jul 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Germany W score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sweden W score 2.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany W | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sweden W | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Germany W sit 1st in UEFA Nations League - Women (16 points from 6 matches) and Sweden W sit 1st (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany WGroup 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 16 |
| 1 | Sweden WGroup 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
A question about Germany W vs Sweden W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Germany W vs Sweden W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Germany W the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Sweden W.
- Where and when is Germany W vs Sweden W played?
- Germany W vs Sweden W is played on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA Nations League - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.