Ituano vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 30, 2022 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ituano vs Bahia?
Ituano won 1-0 on April 30, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 24′Bernardo SchappoItuano
Official lineup for Ituano vs Bahia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ituano
4-2-3-1- 9Rafael Elias
- 11Aylon
- 7Kaio Mendes
- 5J. Jiménez
- 8Lucas Siqueira
- 10Gérson Magrão
- 4Bernardo Schappo
- 3Léo Santos
- 2Pacheco
- 6Roberto
- 1Pegorari
Bahia
4-3-3- 88Matheus Davó
- 11Raí
- 45De Lucca
- 7Marco Antônio
- 10Daniel
- 17Emerson Santos
- 6Luiz Henrique
- 2Douglas Borel
- 4Ignacio
- 3Luiz Otávio
- 1Danilo Fernandes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Bahia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Vila Nova(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 16, 2022 | CSA(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 1, 2022 | Botafogo SP(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 22, 2022 | CSA(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Azuriz(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Bahia | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy