Ituano vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 30, 2022 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ituano vs Bahia?
Ituano won 1-0 on April 30, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 24′Bernardo SchappoItuano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Bahia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Vila Nova(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 16, 2022 | CSA(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 1, 2022 | Botafogo SP(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 22, 2022 | CSA(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Azuriz(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Bahia | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy