Itupiranga vs Castanhal: result 2-1 and analysis
Paraense1st Phase - 6Kick-off on March 11, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Itupiranga vs Castanhal?
Itupiranga won 2-1 on March 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 19′?Itupiranga
- 40′?Castanhal
- 90′?Itupiranga
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Itupiranga have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Castanhal have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Independente PA(away) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Águia de Marabá(home) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Cametá(away) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Paysandu(away) | 1-3 | Paraense |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Tuna Luso(home) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Cametá(away) | 2-2 | Paraense |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Paysandu(away) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Real Desportivo Ariquemes(home) | 2-3 | Copa Verde |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Sao Francisco(home) | 1-0 | Paraense |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Bragantino PA(away) | 0-0 | Paraense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Itupiranga win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Castanhal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | Castanhal 1-2 Itupiranga | Paraense |
| Mar 5, 2021 | Castanhal 1-0 Itupiranga | Paraense |
Last archived meeting: Castanhal vs Itupiranga on Feb 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Itupiranga score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Castanhal score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itupiranga | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Castanhal | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Castanhal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy