Tuna Luso vs Sao Francisco: result 1-2 and analysis
Paraense1st Phase - 6Kick-off on March 11, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Vasques, Belém, Pará
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What was the result of Tuna Luso vs Sao Francisco?
Sao Francisco won 1-2 on March 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 10′?Sao Francisco
- 16′?Sao Francisco (pen.)
- 84′?Tuna Luso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tuna Luso have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sao Francisco have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Remo(home) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Mar 1, 2023 | CSA(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Caeté(home) | 1-0 | Paraense |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Bragantino PA(away) | 3-3 | Paraense |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Águia de Marabá(home) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Bragantino PA(away) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Tapajós(home) | 2-3 | Paraense |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Castanhal(away) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Remo(home) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Caeté(home) | 1-0 | Paraense |
How many goals should we expect?
Tuna Luso score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Francisco score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuna Luso | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sao Francisco | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tuna Luso sit 6th in Paraense (9 points from 6 matches) and Sao Francisco sit 12th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tuna Luso | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Sao Francisco | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy