Ivinhema vs Naviraiense: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 7Kick-off on February 17, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Luis Saraiva Vieira, Ivinhema, Mato Grosso do Sul
The Footlab AI model makes Ivinhema the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Naviraiense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ivinhema wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ivinhema vs Naviraiense?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Ivinhema (1,499) and Naviraiense (1,509).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ivinhema vs Naviraiense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ivinhema
Not enough data to predict the Ivinhema lineup.
Naviraiense
Not enough data to predict the Naviraiense lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ivinhema have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Naviraiense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Democrata GV(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Democrata GV(home) | 3-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 14, 2026 | CRAC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 31, 2026 | Uberlandia(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | Ipatinga(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Bataguassu(home) | 0-4 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Bataguassu(away) | 1-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Águia Negra(away) | 2-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 0-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Costa Rica (away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ivinhema win, 1 draw, 0 Naviraiense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Naviraiense 1-1 Ivinhema | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Naviraiense 0-2 Ivinhema | Sul-Matogrossense |
Last archived meeting: Naviraiense vs Ivinhema on Feb 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ivinhema score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Naviraiense score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivinhema | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Naviraiense | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ivinhema sit 4th in Sul-Matogrossense (12 points from 9 matches) and Naviraiense sit 1st (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naviraiense | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Ivinhema vs Naviraiense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ivinhema vs Naviraiense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ivinhema the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Naviraiense.
- Where and when is Ivinhema vs Naviraiense played?
- Ivinhema vs Naviraiense is played on February 17, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Luis Saraiva Vieira, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.