Match

Corumbaense vs Dourados Atlético: prediction and stats

Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 7Kick-off on February 17, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Artur Marinho, Corumbá, Mato Grosso do Sul

CorumbaenseDourados Atlético

The Footlab AI model makes Corumbaense the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Dourados Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1. If Corumbaense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Corumbaense vs Dourados Atlético?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Corumbaense (1,459) and Dourados Atlético (1,504).

47%27%26%
Corumbaense winDrawDourados Atlético win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Corumbaense vs Dourados Atlético

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Corumbaense

4-3-3
  1. RRomarinho
  2. IItalo Pica-Pau
  3. LLucas Cassiano de Almeida
  1. GGustavo Henrique Amaral
  2. LLaercio Jose Aguiar Cavalheiro Junior
  3. PPeterson
  1. JJaime Cardoso Pinto da Silva
  2. VVinícius Roberto Conceição da Costa
  3. EElivelton Fabrizio Vicente de Oliveira
  4. RRodrigo Digão
  1. RRenan Matheus de Oliveira Brites

Dourados Atlético

4-3-3
  1. 9Luan Miguel
  2. 20Keslley dos Santos Lopes
  3. GGabriel Barcos
  1. 10Diego Rosa
  2. HHippólito
  3. 11Flaviano
  1. 6Thiago Moura
  2. JJúnior Prego
  3. LLeo de Souza Junior
  4. ÁÁdson
  1. 1Felipe

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corumbaense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dourados Atlético have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Corumbaense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 18, 2026Operario Ferroviario(away)1-2Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 15, 2026Operario Ferroviario(home)1-2Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 11, 2026Dourados Atlético(home)2-0Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 8, 2026Dourados Atlético(away)1-1Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 1, 2026Costa Rica (away)2-0Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 11, 2026Corumbaense(away)0-2Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 8, 2026Corumbaense(home)1-1Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 1, 2026CR Aquidauana(home)3-3Sul-Matogrossense
Feb 21, 2026Corumbaense(away)0-2Sul-Matogrossense
Feb 15, 2026Bataguassu(home)7-2Sul-Matogrossense

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Corumbaense wins, 2 draws, 2 Dourados Atlético wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 11, 2026Corumbaense 2-0 Dourados AtléticoSul-Matogrossense
Mar 8, 2026Dourados Atlético 1-1 CorumbaenseSul-Matogrossense
Feb 21, 2026Corumbaense 2-0 Dourados AtléticoSul-Matogrossense
Feb 8, 2025Corumbaense 0-1 Dourados AtléticoSul-Matogrossense
Apr 7, 2024Dourados Atlético 2-0 CorumbaenseSul-Matogrossense
Mar 29, 2024Corumbaense 0-0 Dourados AtléticoSul-Matogrossense

Last archived meeting: Corumbaense vs Dourados Atlético on Mar 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Corumbaense score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dourados Atlético score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Corumbaense1.21.159/155/15
Dourados Atlético1.61.5110/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Corumbaense sit 3rd in Sul-Matogrossense (13 points from 9 matches) and Dourados Atlético sit 6th (10 points from 9 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Corumbaense934210713
6Dourados Atlético9243151410

A question about Corumbaense vs Dourados Atlético?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Corumbaense vs Dourados Atlético?
The Footlab AI model makes Corumbaense the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Dourados Atlético.
Where and when is Corumbaense vs Dourados Atlético played?
Corumbaense vs Dourados Atlético is played on February 17, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Artur Marinho, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Corumbaense and Dourados Atlético