Izarra vs Cortes: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Merkatondoa, Estella (Lizarra)
The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Cortes. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izarra vs Cortes?
Izarra starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Izarra vs Cortes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Izarra
Not enough data to predict the Izarra lineup.
Cortes
Not enough data to predict the Cortes lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izarra have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Cortes have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Izarra wins, 0 draws, 1 Cortes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cortes 0-2 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Izarra 3-0 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Cortes 2-1 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Izarra score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cortes score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izarra | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Cortes | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izarra sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (18 points from 6 matches) and Cortes sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
| 13 | Cortes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Izarra vs Cortes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izarra vs Cortes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Cortes.
- Where and when is Izarra vs Cortes played?
- Izarra vs Cortes is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Merkatondoa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.