Jadran LP vs HNK Cibalia: prediction and stats
First NLMatchday 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Igralište NK Jadran, Ploče
The Footlab AI model makes Jadran LP the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for HNK Cibalia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jadran LP wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jadran LP vs HNK Cibalia?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Jadran LP (1,884) and HNK Cibalia (1,820).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jadran LP vs HNK Cibalia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jadran LP
4-3-3- 77L. Petrovic
- 9N. Maric
- 8A. Radonic
- 10M. Maric
- 11L. Matanovic
- 7A. Peric
- 6D. Karacic
- 2L. Miletić
- 19T. Herceg
- 74E. Spahic
- 1I. Kesina
HNK Cibalia
4-3-3- 11L. Bartolovic
- 9D. Lukić
- 10P. Mišić
- 14M. Hanuljak
- 13L. Rajković
- 28D. Bošnjak
- 6Britto
- 20D. Lagancic
- 5P. Rubić
- 4R. Kelić
- 12P. Katalinic
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jadran LP have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; HNK Cibalia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb U21(away) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Segesta Sisak(home) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dugopolje(home) | 4-4 | First NL |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sesvete(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Croatia Zmijavci(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(home) | 2-0 | First NL |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb U21(away) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Segesta Sisak(home) | 1-4 | First NL |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(away) | 1-2 | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Jadran LP score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Cibalia score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadran LP | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| HNK Cibalia | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jadran LP sit 3rd in First NL (20 points from 12 matches) and HNK Cibalia sit 5th (19 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jadran LP | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | HNK Cibalia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Jadran LP vs HNK Cibalia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jadran LP vs HNK Cibalia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jadran LP the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for HNK Cibalia.
- Where and when is Jadran LP vs HNK Cibalia played?
- Jadran LP vs HNK Cibalia is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Igralište NK Jadran, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.