Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin: result 2-1 and analysis
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 19, 2018 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok
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What was the result of Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Jagiellonia won 2-1 on October 19, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 48′P. FrankowskiJagiellonia
- 64′Z. KožuljPogon Szczecin
- 81′Ivan RunjeJagiellonia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 3, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2018 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 1, 2018 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 0-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 14, 2018 | Cracovia Krakow(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Wisla Plock(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | Wisla Plock(home) | 4-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 31, 2018 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
How many goals should we expect?
Jagiellonia score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pogon Szczecin | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/11 | 4/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jagiellonia sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 3 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy