Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 28Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Järfällavallen, Järfälla
The Footlab AI model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Järfälla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hammarby Talang wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang?
Hammarby Talang starts as the favourite with a 244-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,529).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Järfälla
4-3-3- 8N. Medhin
- 23C. F. Danha
- 17M. Khalil
- 20E. Drugge
- 6P. Saweris
- 10A. Portilla
- 27D. Bangala
- 3N. Akdemir
- 4Yusuf Deniz Aksoy
- 26Degome Dibaga
- 30E. von Feilitzen
Hammarby Talang
4-3-3- 7O. Moczarny
- 10G. Hana
- 9E. Sadarangani
- 11A. Johansson
- 6S. Moses
- 28Imran Musa
- 23N. Ek
- 3J. Lindahl
- 4C. Eklund
- 16G. Elezaj
- 1E. Fischerström
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Järfälla have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Hammarby Talang have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stocksund(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(home) | 2-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 1-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Karlberg(home) | 5-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gefle IF(away) | 1-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Umeå FC(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 2-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 1-0 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Järfälla wins, 1 draw, 0 Hammarby Talang wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Hammarby Talang 1-1 Järfälla | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Hammarby Talang vs Järfälla on Jun 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Järfälla score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby Talang score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Järfälla | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hammarby Talang | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Järfälla sit 15th in Ettan - Norra (19 points from 25 matches) and Hammarby Talang sit 4th (45 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hammarby Talang | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 25 | 45 |
| 15 | Järfälla | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 55 | 19 |
A question about Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Järfälla.
- Where and when is Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang played?
- Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Järfällavallen, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.