Gefle IF vs FBK Karlstad: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 28Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gavlevallen, Gävle
The Footlab AI model makes FBK Karlstad the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gefle IF. The most likely score is 1-1. If FBK Karlstad wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gefle IF vs FBK Karlstad?
FBK Karlstad starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,584).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gefle IF vs FBK Karlstad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gefle IF
4-3-3- 16R. Nehrman
- 19A. Sipic
- 23N. Lundström
- 11L. Vikgren
- 9A. Zahirovic
- 10M. Mokédé
- 5D. Ismail
- 14D. Yaldir
- 4T. Hansemon
- 2E. Larsson
- 1M. Croon
FBK Karlstad
4-3-3- 21E. Navassardian
- 12A. Sandstad
- 12G. Hana
- 8M. Oluwayemni
- 13J. Hoiby
- 22Kevin Ewomba Gernon
- 6C. Marigliano
- 18E. Forsberg
- 26A. Hagelberg
- 4L. Fredriksson
- 20V. Johansson
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gefle IF have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FBK Karlstad have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Piteå(home) | 3-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Enköping(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vasalund(home) | 0-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Arlanda(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Assyriska FF(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Umeå FC(away) | 3-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 0-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 16, 2026 | IF Karlstad(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Gefle IF wins, 0 draws, 1 FBK Karlstad win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | FBK Karlstad 2-1 Gefle IF | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: FBK Karlstad vs Gefle IF on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gefle IF score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FBK Karlstad score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gefle IF | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| FBK Karlstad | 1.4 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gefle IF sit 11th in Ettan - Norra (31 points from 26 matches) and FBK Karlstad sit 7th (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 43 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 46 | 31 |
A question about Gefle IF vs FBK Karlstad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gefle IF vs FBK Karlstad?
- The Footlab AI model makes FBK Karlstad the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gefle IF.
- Where and when is Gefle IF vs FBK Karlstad played?
- Gefle IF vs FBK Karlstad is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gavlevallen, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.