Jerez vs Guadiana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván, Jerez de los Caballeros
The Footlab AI model makes Jerez the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Guadiana. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,109 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jerez vs Guadiana?
Jerez starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,730 vs 1,625).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jerez vs Guadiana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jerez
Not enough data to predict the Jerez lineup.
Guadiana
Not enough data to predict the Guadiana lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jerez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Guadiana have 0, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Plasencia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Quintana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Santa Amalia(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | CD Zafra(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villanovense(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Jerez win, 0 draws, 0 Guadiana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guadiana 1-4 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jerez score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guadiana score 0.3 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerez | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Guadiana | 0.3 | 2.9 | 0 | 3/10 | 6/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jerez sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (12 points from 10 matches) and Guadiana sit 18th (1 point from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jerez | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 1 |
A question about Jerez vs Guadiana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jerez vs Guadiana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jerez the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Guadiana.
- Where and when is Jerez vs Guadiana played?
- Jerez vs Guadiana is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.