Jerez vs Santa Amalia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván, Jerez de los Caballeros
The Footlab AI model makes Jerez the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Santa Amalia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jerez wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,153 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jerez vs Santa Amalia?
On Elo ratings, Jerez has 1,721 points and Santa Amalia 1,670.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jerez vs Santa Amalia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jerez
Not enough data to predict the Jerez lineup.
Santa Amalia
Not enough data to predict the Santa Amalia lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 07:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jerez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Santa Amalia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Plasencia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Quintana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Guadiana(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Jerez wins, 2 draws, 2 Santa Amalia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Jerez 2-2 Santa Amalia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Santa Amalia 2-2 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Jerez 0-1 Santa Amalia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Santa Amalia 1-0 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jerez score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Amalia score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerez | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Santa Amalia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jerez sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (12 points from 10 matches) and Santa Amalia sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Santa Amalia | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | Jerez | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Jerez vs Santa Amalia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jerez vs Santa Amalia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jerez the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Santa Amalia.
- Where and when is Jerez vs Santa Amalia played?
- Jerez vs Santa Amalia is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.