Gévora vs Santa Amalia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Gévora, Gévora
The Footlab AI model makes Gévora the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Santa Amalia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gévora wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,234 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gévora vs Santa Amalia?
On Elo ratings, Gévora has 1,679 points and Santa Amalia 1,670.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gévora vs Santa Amalia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gévora
Not enough data to predict the Gévora lineup.
Santa Amalia
Not enough data to predict the Santa Amalia lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gévora have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Santa Amalia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Montijo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llerenense(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Guadiana(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Gévora win, 1 draw, 0 Santa Amalia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Gévora 3-0 Santa Amalia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Santa Amalia 1-1 Gévora | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Gévora vs Santa Amalia on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gévora score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Amalia score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gévora | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Santa Amalia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gévora sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (12 points from 10 matches) and Santa Amalia sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Santa Amalia | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 13 | Gévora | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Gévora vs Santa Amalia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gévora vs Santa Amalia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gévora the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Santa Amalia.
- Where and when is Gévora vs Santa Amalia played?
- Gévora vs Santa Amalia is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Gévora, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.