Jincheon vs Pyeongtaek Citizen: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Jincheon the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Pyeongtaek Citizen. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jincheon vs Pyeongtaek Citizen?
Jincheon starts as the favourite with a 257-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jincheon have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Pyeongtaek Citizen have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(away) | 1-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Geoje Citizen(home) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sejong SA(away) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Namyangju(home) | 2-2 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 0-2 | K4 League |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(home) | 0-5 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 1-1 | K4 League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 2-3 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Jincheon win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pyeongtaek Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen 1-0 Jincheon | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Jincheon on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jincheon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pyeongtaek Citizen score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jincheon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Pyeongtaek Citizen | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jincheon sit 2nd in K4 League (37 points from 18 matches) and Pyeongtaek Citizen sit 13th (9 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jincheon | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 37 |
| 13 | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jincheon vs Pyeongtaek Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Jincheon the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Pyeongtaek Citizen.
- Where and when is Jincheon vs Pyeongtaek Citizen played?
- Jincheon vs Pyeongtaek Citizen is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.