JJK vs KPV-j: prediction and stats
YkkönenGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Harjun stadion, Jyväskylä
The Footlab model makes JJK the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for KPV-j. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JJK vs KPV-j?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate JJK (1,495) and KPV-j (1,428).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JJK have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; KPV-j have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PKKU(away) | 2-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VJS(away) | 4-4 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tampere United(home) | 0-0 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 5, 2026 | SalPa(away) | 1-2 | Ykkönen |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rops(away) | 0-4 | Ykkönen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | KuPS Akatemia(home) | 2-4 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inter Turku II(away) | 3-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VJS(home) | 1-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tampere United(away) | 0-6 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SalPa(home) | 3-0 | Ykkönen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 JJK win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 KPV-j win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | KPV-j 2-3 JJK | Ykkönen |
| Sep 13, 2025 | KPV-j 4-0 JJK | Ykkönen |
| Jul 26, 2025 | KPV-j 3-0 JJK | Ykkönen |
| Jul 20, 2024 | KPV-j 0-2 JJK | Ykkönen |
| May 13, 2024 | JJK 0-3 KPV-j | Ykkönen |
| Oct 7, 2023 | KPV-j 3-1 JJK | Ykkönen |
How many goals should we expect?
JJK score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; KPV-j score 1.4 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJK | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| KPV-j | 1.4 | 2.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JJK sit 8th in Ykkönen (28 points from 21 matches) and KPV-j sit 12th (15 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | JJK | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 21 |
| 8 | JJK | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 41 | 28 |
| 12 | KPV-j | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 64 | 15 |
| 12 | KPV-j | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JJK vs KPV-j?
- The Footlab model makes JJK the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for KPV-j.
- Where and when is JJK vs KPV-j played?
- JJK vs KPV-j is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Harjun stadion, in the Ykkönen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.