Johnstone Burgh vs Largs Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Largs Thistle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Johnstone Burgh wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johnstone Burgh vs Largs Thistle?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Johnstone Burgh (1,570) and Largs Thistle (1,602).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Johnstone Burgh vs Largs Thistle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Johnstone Burgh
Not enough data to predict the Johnstone Burgh lineup.
Largs Thistle
Not enough data to predict the Largs Thistle lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Johnstone Burgh have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Largs Thistle have 8, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 4-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beith(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Johnstone Burgh wins, 0 draws, 1 Largs Thistle win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Largs Thistle 1-0 Johnstone Burgh | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Largs Thistle vs Johnstone Burgh on Sep 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Johnstone Burgh score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Largs Thistle score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnstone Burgh | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Largs Thistle | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/12 | 3/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Johnstone Burgh sit 13th in Football League - Lowland League (18 points from 10 matches) and Largs Thistle sit 5th (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 23 |
| 13 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
A question about Johnstone Burgh vs Largs Thistle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johnstone Burgh vs Largs Thistle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Largs Thistle.
- Where and when is Johnstone Burgh vs Largs Thistle played?
- Johnstone Burgh vs Largs Thistle is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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