Jong Ajax vs NAC Breda: result 2-1 and analysis
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 4, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
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What was the result of Jong Ajax vs NAC Breda?
Jong Ajax won 2-1 on November 4, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 45′A. El GhaziJong Ajax
- 64′M. de LigtJong Ajax
- 75′C. DessersNAC Breda
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Jong Ajax have 6 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; NAC Breda have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2016 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 21, 2016 | FC Volendam(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2016 | De Graafschap(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2016 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2016 | FC OSS(home) | 7-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2016 | FC OSS(away) | 4-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 21, 2016 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 14, 2016 | Telstar(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2016 | FC Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2016 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Ajax score 2.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 12; NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/12 | 9/12 |
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Ajax sit 20th in Eerste Divisie (0 points from 3 matches) and NAC Breda sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy