Den Bosch vs Jong Ajax: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs Jong Ajax?
Den Bosch starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Den Bosch vs Jong Ajax
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Den Bosch
4-3-3- 8K. Monzialo
- 9S. Karlsson Grach
- 11J. De Vries
- 10Devon Decorte
- 18H. Eikelboom
- 16Wang Bohao
- 22Jeffry Fortes
- 33M. Laros
- 25Silvan Broker
- 3S. Maas
- 1P. van de Merbel
Jong Ajax
4-3-3- 9E. Ünüvar
- 11P. Nash
- 7Leo Salazar
- 8Mohamed Abdalla
- 10Alejandro Monserrate
- 6M. Verkuijl
- 4M. Muzungu
- 2R. van de Pavert
- 5Sinclair de Falco
- 3G. Spina
- 1C. Setford
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Jong Ajax have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Den Bosch wins, 1 draw, 1 Jong Ajax win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Jong Ajax 3-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Den Bosch 2-0 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Den Bosch 3-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Jong Ajax 1-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 8, 2024 | Jong Ajax 0-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Den Bosch 3-3 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Ajax score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Jong Ajax | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 14th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and Jong Ajax sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Den Bosch vs Jong Ajax?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs Jong Ajax?
- The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs Jong Ajax played?
- Den Bosch vs Jong Ajax is played on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.