Jove Español vs Villarreal III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de San Vicente del Raspeig, San Vicente del Raspeig
The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Jove Español. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jove Español vs Villarreal III?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jove Español have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Villarreal III have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Buñol(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jove Español win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Villarreal III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Jove Español 4-1 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Villarreal III 4-0 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Jove Español 0-3 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Villarreal III 1-1 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Jove Español 1-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Villarreal III 1-1 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Jove Español vs Villarreal III on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jove Español score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal III score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jove Español | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Villarreal III | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jove Español sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (38 points from 34 matches) and Villarreal III sit 4th (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal III | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64 | 36 | 63 |
| 14 | Jove Español | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jove Español vs Villarreal III?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Jove Español.
- Where and when is Jove Español vs Villarreal III played?
- Jove Español vs Villarreal III is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de San Vicente del Raspeig, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.