Hércules II vs Soneja: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Juan Antonio Samaranch, Alacant
The Footlab model makes Soneja the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Hércules II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hércules II vs Soneja?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Hércules II (1,686) and Soneja (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hércules II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Soneja have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Saguntino(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Villarreal III(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Torrellano(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hércules II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Soneja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Soneja 1-2 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Hércules II 1-2 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Soneja vs Hércules II on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hércules II score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Soneja score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules II | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Soneja | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hércules II sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (41 points from 34 matches) and Soneja sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Soneja | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 42 | 45 |
| 11 | Hércules II | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hércules II vs Soneja?
- The Footlab model makes Soneja the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Hércules II.
- Where and when is Hércules II vs Soneja played?
- Hércules II vs Soneja is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Juan Antonio Samaranch, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.