Juan Aurich vs Real Garcilaso: result 2-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on March 5, 2016 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio César Flores Marigorda, Lambayeque
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What was the result of Juan Aurich vs Real Garcilaso?
Juan Aurich and Real Garcilaso drew 2-2 on March 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 37′Carlos Alberto Orejuela PitaReal Garcilaso
- 43′Luis Carlos Tejada HansellJuan Aurich (pen.)
- 55′Luis Carlos Tejada HansellJuan Aurich
- 85′W. CosmeReal Garcilaso
Official lineup for Juan Aurich vs Real Garcilaso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Juan Aurich
- 9Luis Carlos Tejada Hansell
- 20A. Medrano
- 6Alfredo Rojas
- 10R. Buitrago
- 22V. Cedrón
- 25P. de la Haza
- 4G. Gambetta
- 5B. Ubierna
- 15C. Ramos
- 17E. Rodas
- 1P. Gallese
Real Garcilaso
- 10Carlos Alberto Orejuela Pita
- 18W. Cosme
- 20A. Lecaros
- 5C. Beltrán
- 6Á. Cayetano
- 13J. Lojas
- 14Néstor Alonso Duarte Carassa
- 16M. Valverde
- 19F. Jasaui
- 29S. Lojas
- 1F. Martinuzzi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Juan Aurich have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Real Garcilaso have 2, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 21, 2016 | FBC Melgar(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2016 | Universitario(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | Ayacucho FC(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2016 | U. San Martin(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Union Comercio(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Juan Aurich score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Real Garcilaso score 1.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Aurich | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 5/6 | 4/6 |
| Real Garcilaso | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1 | 3/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy