UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on March 6, 2016 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca
Full time
What was the result of UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
UTC Cajamarca won 1-0 on March 6, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 71′V. GuazáUTC Cajamarca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, UTC Cajamarca have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Alianza Lima have 3, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 9, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 5, 2016 | FBC Melgar(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Cesar Vallejo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2016 | Union Comercio(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
UTC Cajamarca score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 5; Alianza Lima score 2.0 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTC Cajamarca | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Alianza Lima | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UTC Cajamarca sit 13th in Primera División (18 points from 17 matches) and Alianza Lima sit 1st (40 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 51 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy