Junior vs Fluminense: result 1-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup D - 3Kick-off on May 7, 2021 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
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What was the result of Junior vs Fluminense?
Junior and Fluminense drew 1-1 on May 7, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 11′M. BorjaJunior (pen.)
- 20′KaykyFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Fluminense have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 29, 2021 | River Plate(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Santa Fe(home) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 23, 2021 | Santa Fe(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Bolívar(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | Portuguesa RJ(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Apr 29, 2021 | Santa Fe(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Madureira(home) | 4-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Apr 22, 2021 | River Plate(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Junior score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Junior sit 4th in CONMEBOL Libertadores (4 points from 6 matches) and Fluminense sit 2nd (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fluminense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 4 | Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy