Juventud vs Penarol: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 24, 2014 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Juventud vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-1 on August 24, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 66′Jorge Marcelo Rodríguez NúñezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventud have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Penarol have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2014 | Fenix(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| May 17, 2014 | Miramar(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 11, 2014 | Cerro Largo(away) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 3, 2014 | Penarol(away) | 0-4 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Cerro(away) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2014 | Cerro(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| May 18, 2014 | Cerro Largo(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 11, 2014 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 3, 2014 | Juventud(home) | 4-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Club Nacional(home) | 5-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Juventud win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2014 | Penarol 4-0 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Juventud 0-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 26, 2013 | Juventud 1-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 2, 2012 | Penarol 2-0 Juventud | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Juventud score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 2.2 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Penarol | 2.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventud sit 14th in Primera División (15 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy