Juventude Évora vs FC Serpa: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Sanches de Miranda, Évora
The Footlab model makes Juventude Évora the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for FC Serpa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventude Évora vs FC Serpa?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Juventude Évora (1,888) and FC Serpa (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventude Évora have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; FC Serpa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alcochetense(home) | 3-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira(home) | 4-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Moncarapachense(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Comércio Indústria(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC Serpa(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 4-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Oriental Lisboa(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | FC Alverca II(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 4, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Juventude Évora(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Juventude Évora win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Serpa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC Serpa 0-3 Juventude Évora | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Juventude Évora 0-1 FC Serpa | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Jan 7, 2024 | FC Serpa 1-0 Juventude Évora | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Juventude Évora 2-0 FC Serpa | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Juventude Évora 0-0 FC Serpa | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Nov 27, 2022 | FC Serpa 2-0 Juventude Évora | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
Last archived meeting: FC Serpa vs Juventude Évora on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventude Évora score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Serpa score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude Évora | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Serpa | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Serpa | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 27 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventude Évora vs FC Serpa?
- The Footlab model makes Juventude Évora the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for FC Serpa.
- Where and when is Juventude Évora vs FC Serpa played?
- Juventude Évora vs FC Serpa is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Sanches de Miranda, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.