K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
The Footlab model makes Liège the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for K. Lierse S.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate K. Lierse S.K. (1,772) and Liège (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, K. Lierse S.K. have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Liège have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 3-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Patro Eisden(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waremme(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 K. Lierse S.K. win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Liège win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Liège 2-1 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | K. Lierse S.K. 1-2 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Liège 2-1 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 2-1 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 3-2 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Liège 2-4 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Liège vs K. Lierse S.K. on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
K. Lierse S.K. score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liège score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lierse S.K. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Liège | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
K. Lierse S.K. sit 11th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Liège sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Liège | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | K. Lierse S.K. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège?
- The Footlab model makes Liège the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for K. Lierse S.K..
- Where and when is K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège played?
- K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.