Dender vs Seraing United: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
The Footlab model makes Dender the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Seraing United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dender vs Seraing United?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Dender (1,779) and Seraing United (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dender have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Seraing United have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(home) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flénu(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Dender win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Seraing United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | Dender 5-1 Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Seraing United 1-3 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Seraing United 1-1 Dender | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Dender 0-1 Seraing United | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Dender vs Seraing United on Feb 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Dender score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Seraing United score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dender | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Seraing United | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dender sit 6th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Seraing United sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dender | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Seraing United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dender vs Seraing United?
- The Footlab model makes Dender the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Seraing United.
- Where and when is Dender vs Seraing United played?
- Dender vs Seraing United is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at DENDER Football Complex, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.