K. Lierse S.K. vs Sporting Hasselt: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
The Footlab model makes Sporting Hasselt the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for K. Lierse S.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win K. Lierse S.K. vs Sporting Hasselt?
Sporting Hasselt starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (2,000 vs 1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, K. Lierse S.K. have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sporting Hasselt have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Francs Borains(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dender(home) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Geel(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eendracht Aalst(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
K. Lierse S.K. score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Hasselt score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lierse S.K. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting Hasselt | 2.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
K. Lierse S.K. sit 11th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Sporting Hasselt sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting Hasselt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | K. Lierse S.K. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for K. Lierse S.K. vs Sporting Hasselt?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Hasselt the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for K. Lierse S.K..
- Where and when is K. Lierse S.K. vs Sporting Hasselt played?
- K. Lierse S.K. vs Sporting Hasselt is played on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.